Investigating the impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on children presenting to emergency departments across Europe
ISRCTN | ISRCTN91495258 |
---|---|
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN91495258 |
IRAS number | 284008 |
Secondary identifying numbers | IRAS 284008 |
- Submission date
- 06/07/2020
- Registration date
- 14/07/2020
- Last edited
- 03/09/2024
- Recruitment status
- No longer recruiting
- Overall study status
- Completed
- Condition category
- Other
Plain English summary of protocol
Background and study aims
COVID-19 is a condition caused by the coronavirus (called SARS-CoV-2) that was first identified in late 2019. This virus can infect the respiratory (breathing) system. Ever since the first cases of SARS-CoV-2 were reported in Europe, and since the initial outbreak in Italy in February 2020, the pandemic has caused significant challenges for health care systems and the societies at large across Europe.
One of the few reassuring aspects of this pandemic might be that children don’t appear to get infected as often as adults, that severe disease in children is rare, and that children appear to play a limited role in the transmission of the virus. As a result, numbers of children attending hospital emergency departments have been reported to have fallen drastically. However, the reduced numbers appear to be out of keeping with what was to be expected as a result of the government ‘lockdown’ policies. It is thought that, as a result of the imposed restrictions on free movements by governments, children are not cross-infecting one another with other common childhood diseases with the closure of daycare facilities and schools, that they are less exposed to air pollution triggering the respiratory disease, and that they are less often involved in high velocity, traffic-related trauma.
Also, as an unwanted effect of the pandemic, frontline clinicians are noticing an increase in delayed presentations of children with serious illness. Furthermore, cases of children presenting with an emerging Paediatric Inflammatory Multisystem Syndrome - temporally associated with Sars-Cov-2 (PIMS-TS) have been reported, with some of these children testing positive and some testing negative for SARS-CoV-2. At present, no there is no evidence to confirm these findings across multiple European countries. Therefore, it is important to describe current patterns of children presenting to paediatric emergency departments across Europe and compare these with historical data. The aim of this is to provide evidence for changes to attendance to emergency departments for children; to monitor for possible new diseases; and to understand the timeliness of their presentations in relation to the disease severity, to confirm if children are attending emergency departments later than normal during the pandemic and therefore have more severe symptoms by the time they are first seen by healthcare staff.
This study will be performed by the EPISODES study steering group, in collaboration with the European Society of Emergency Medicine and the Research in European Paediatric Emergency Medicine network.
Who can participate?
The collective data of all children presenting to the emergency departments of the participating centres during the period between January 1st, 2018 and May 1st, 2020 will be included in this trial.
What does the study involve?
This study will involve analysis of routinely collected clinical data of all children presenting to emergency departments across Europe over a 2 and half year period. The data will not be identifiable and will be collected on a monthly basis for each individual participating centre during the period spanning the COVID-19 pandemic (beginning February 2020). The historical data (from January 2018 and prior to February 2020) will be collected to serve as a comparison.
What are the possible benefits and risks of participating?
As this study does not involve any change to the care of the children whose data is included and that no individual patient data or identifiable data will be collected, there are not thought to be any risks involved in this study. It is hoped that data will show the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the numbers of children presenting to emergency departments across Europe and may, therefore, be used to provide advice on emergency department attendance for children, and to respond rapidly to a potential second wave of the pandemic.
Where is the study run from?
Imperial College London (UK). There are currently 40 confirmed participating sites (1-4 centres per European country) providing data for the study.
When is the study starting and how long is it expected to run for?
From June to December 2021
Who is funding the study?
The study is investigator-initiated and funded.
Who is the main contact?
Dr Ruud Nijman
r.nijman@imperial.ac.uk
Contact information
Scientific
St Marys Campus, Medical School Building
Room 235
Norfolk Place
London
W2 1PG
United Kingdom
0000-0001-9671-8161 | |
Phone | +44 (0)7442360730 |
r.nijman@imperial.ac.uk |
Study information
Study design | Retrospective analysis of routinely collected clinical data |
---|---|
Primary study design | Observational |
Secondary study design | Epidemiological study |
Study setting(s) | Hospital |
Study type | Diagnostic |
Participant information sheet | No participant information sheet available |
Scientific title | The epidemiology, severity, and outcomes of children presenting to emergency departments across Europe during the SARS-COV-2 pandemic: the EPISODES study |
Study acronym | EPISODES |
Study objectives | This study aims to describe current patterns of children presenting to paediatric emergency departments across Europe during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and compare these with historical data, to understand the timeliness of their presentations in relation to the disease severity, and to monitor for emerging disease entities. |
Ethics approval(s) | Approved 18/06/2020, UK HRA, Imperial College Research Governance and Integrity Team (Joint Research Compliance Office Office Room 221, Medical School Building, St Mary's Campus, Imperial College London W2 1NY; n.shaikh@imperial.ac.uk; +44 (0)20 7594 9484), ref: 20SM6003 |
Health condition(s) or problem(s) studied | Paediatric emergency department presentation |
Intervention | Current interventions as of 01/04/2021: This study will involve retrospective analysis of routinely collected clinical data of all children presenting to emergency departments across Europe over a 2 and half year period. Aggregated, anonymous data will be entered on a monthly basis for each individual participating centre during the period spanning the COVID-19 pandemic (beginning February 2020). All data will be extracted from electronic health care records by the local clinical teams. Monthly aggregated data will be entered on a validated and secure online platform (RedCap). Aggregated, anonymous data will be presented on a weekly/monthly basis where each week period will start on the first Monday (00:00 am) of that time period, through to the last Sunday (11:59 pm) of that time period. The total time period of interest will be January 1st, 2018 to May 17th, 2020 to allow for the collection of historical data (prior to February 2020) for comparison. Once the data is collected it will be analysed after the end of the period of interest. A quota sampling design will be used to select from which 1-4 institutions from each participating European countries data will be collected. Every site lead will complete a site-specific survey to inform on hospital-specific factors and local changes to healthcare pathways induced by the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. No data with personally identifiable data will be collected, nor any data on a patient individual level. Data will be analysed by comparing absolute numbers and percentages of children presenting to emergency departments, the severity of their presenting problems, their working diagnoses, and the patient outcomes, over time during the study period. We will use historic datasets to calibrate time series auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) forecasting models, in order to predict the expected number of ED attendances for different conditions using national-level and local data pre- and during the COVID-19 pandemic. We will compare the forecasted trends to the observed data for the same periods of time. Site-specific surveys detailing local health care pathways, and COVID-19 related changes to these pathways, will allow for unique local mediation analysis, and the ARIMA models will be adjusted for local policy interventions on social distancing and other lockdown measures. An extension of the study period will allow data until May 2021 to be collected. Previous interventions: This study will involve retrospective analysis of routinely collected clinical data of all children presenting to emergency departments across Europe over a 2 and half year period. Aggregated, anonymous data will be entered on a monthly basis for each individual participating centre during the period spanning the COVID-19 pandemic (beginning February 2020). All data will be extracted from electronic health care records by the local clinical teams. Monthly aggregated data will be entered on a validated and secure online platform (RedCap). Aggregated, anonymous data will be presented on a weekly basis where each month or each week period will start at the first Monday (00:00 am) of that time period, through to the last Sunday (11:59 pm) of that time period. The total time period of interest will be January 1st, 2018 to May 1st, 2020 to allow for the collection of historical data (prior to February 2020) for comparison. Once the data is collected it will be analysed after the end of the period of interest. A quota sampling design will be used to select from which 1-4 institutions from each participating European countries data will be collected. Every site lead will complete a site-specific survey to inform on hospital-specific factors and local changes to healthcare pathways induced by the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. No data with personally identifiable data will be collected, nor any data on a patient individual level. Data will be analysed by comparing absolute numbers and percentages of children presenting to emergency departments, the severity of their presenting problems, their working diagnoses, and the patient outcomes, over time during the study period. |
Intervention type | Other |
Primary outcome measure | Absolute numbers of children presenting to the paediatric emergency department over the period of interest; for all children and children with different typologies (i.e. working diagnosis, age) |
Secondary outcome measures | 1. The severity of illness of children presenting to the paediatric emergency department over the period of interest as defined by the following criteria: percentage of children with abnormal vital parameters; high triage urgency; a composite outcome of the need for emergency medications, the need for hospital admission for >24 h, the need for PICU admission, and death 2. Change of relative incidence of children with specific diagnoses of interest and the severity of their presentation as a proxy for timeliness of presentations. Calculated from: absolute numbers of children presenting to the paediatric emergency department; the percentage of children with abnormal vital parameters; the number of cases with high triage urgency; a composite outcome of the need for emergency medications, the need for hospital admission for >24 h, the need for PICU admission, and death; over the period of interest and over an equivalent historical time period for comparison |
Overall study start date | 14/06/2020 |
Completion date | 31/12/2021 |
Eligibility
Participant type(s) | Patient |
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Age group | Child |
Upper age limit | 18 Years |
Sex | Both |
Target number of participants | Between 6,000 and 60,000 per participating centre, 40 confirmed participating centres at the time of submission |
Key inclusion criteria | 1. All children presenting to the emergency department during the period of interest for unscheduled health care 2. Aged between 0 and 18 years (upper age limit determined by the upper age bracket for children being assessed at the local participating centre) 3. Undergo a formal clinical assessment by advanced nurse practitioner (or equivalent) or clinician in the emergency department 4. All or part of the data of the triaging process (including vital signs), consultation, management (including diagnostics and treatment) and outcomes (including working diagnosis and disposition) routinely documented in the electronic patient record |
Key exclusion criteria | 1. Children visiting the emergency department who are then streamed to a primary care service for the initial consultation. 2. Children presenting to the emergency department for scheduled health care or a planned follow-up visit (children who have an unscheduled re-visit to the emergency department within one disease episode are not excluded) |
Date of first enrolment | 01/01/2018 |
Date of final enrolment | 01/05/2021 |
Locations
Countries of recruitment
- Austria
- England
- France
- Germany
- Hungary
- Iceland
- Ireland
- Italy
- Latvia
- Lithuania
- Malta
- Netherlands
- Portugal
- Slovenia
- Spain
- Sweden
- Türkiye
- United Kingdom
Study participating centres
W2 1NY
United Kingdom
Clinical Division of Pediatric Pulmonology, Allergology and Endocrinology
Department of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine
Währinger Gürtel 18-20
Vienna
1090
Austria
Müllner Hauptstrasse 48
Salzburg
5020
Austria
Auenbruggerplatz 2
Graz
8036
Austria
Bd Sérurier
Paris
75019
France
178 Rue des Renouillers
Colombes
92700
France
26 avenue du Dr-Arnold-Netter
Paris
75012
France
3 Rue Arthur Groussier
Bondy
93140
France
Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich
Lindwurmstraße 4
Munich
80337
Germany
Ulloi ut 86
Budapest
1089
Hungary
Szekesfehervar
8000
Hungary
Reykjavík
101
Iceland
Cooley Rd
Crumlin
Dublin
D12 N512
Ireland
Temple St
Rotunda
Dublin
D01 XD99
Ireland
Tallaght
Dublin
D24 NR0A
Ireland
Department of Women’s and Children’s Health
Via Giustiniani, 3
Padova
35128
Italy
Via della Pineta Sacchetti, 217
Rome
00168
Italy
Riga Stradins University
Vienības gatve 45
Riga
-
Latvia
Kaunas
50161
Lithuania
Msida
MSD 2090
Malta
Dr. Molewaterplein 40
Rotterdam
3015 GD
Netherlands
Wilhelminalaan 12
Alkmaar
1815 JD
Netherlands
Avenida, R. Dr. Afonso Romão
Coimbra
3000-602
Portugal
Porto
4200-319
Portugal
Alameda Santo António dos Capuchos
Lisboa
1169-050
Portugal
IC19
Amadora
2720-276
Portugal
Av. Rei Dom Duarte
Viseu
3504-509
Portugal
Department of Infectious Diseases
Zaloška cesta 7
Ljubljana
1000
Slovenia
Cruces Plaza, S/N
Barakaldo
48903
Spain
Calle Dulzaina, 2
Valladolid
47012
Spain
Karolinska University
Anna Steckséns gata 35
Solna
171 64
Sweden
Sjukhusbacken 10
Stockholm
118 83
Sweden
Körfez
19 Mayıs University
Samsun
55270
Türkiye
Department of Pediatrics
Hacettepe
A.Adnan Saygun Cd
Ankara
06230
Türkiye
Division of Emergency Medicine
Korukent Mah. 96015 Sok. Mersin Entegre Sağlık Kampüsü
Toroslar
Mersin
33240
Türkiye
Children’s Emergency Department
Leicester Royal Infirmary
Infirmary Square
Leicester
LE1 5UE
United Kingdom
Division of Medicine
Imperial College NHS Healthcare Trust
Praed Street
London
W2 NY1
United Kingdom
Guy's and St. Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust
Westminster Bridge Rd
South Bank
London
SE1 7EH
United Kingdom
Birmingham women's and children's NHS Foundation Trust
Steelhouse Ln
Birmingham
B4 6NH
United Kingdom
Upper Maudlin St
Bristol
BS2 8BJ
United Kingdom
Alder Hey Children's NHS Foundation Trust
E Prescot Rd
Liverpool
L12 2AP
United Kingdom
Sponsor information
University/education
Joint Research Compliance Office
Medical School building, Room 221
Norfolk Place
London
W211PG
England
United Kingdom
Phone | +44 (0)207 594 9465 |
---|---|
cheuk-fung.wong@imperial.ac.uk | |
Website | http://www3.imperial.ac.uk/ |
https://ror.org/041kmwe10 |
Funders
Funder type
Other
No information available
Results and Publications
Intention to publish date | 01/06/2021 |
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Individual participant data (IPD) Intention to share | Yes |
IPD sharing plan summary | Available on request |
Publication and dissemination plan | Current publication and dissemination plan as of 01/04/2021: Expect to publish the main manuscript in a leading international peer-reviewed journal and presentation at international conferences, planned for 01/06/2021 (i.e.: data from original EPISODES study, detailing period January 2018 - May 2020). Anticipated additional production of short papers on both difficulties on harmonising routinely collected clinical data from European paediatric emergency departments, and changes in health care pathways across Europe amongst participants of the EPISODES study. Secondary analysis of the data may be performed with the approval of the EPISODES steering group after review of a study proposal by any member of the EPISODES study group. Furthermore, the EPISODES study will position the trial group in a unique position to respond rapidly to a potential second wave of Sars-Cov-2 infections and to collect data on epidemiological issues in paediatric emergency medicine. Previous publication and dissemination plan: Expect to publication of the main manuscript in a leading international peer-reviewed journal and presentation at international conferences. Anticipated production of short papers on both difficulties on harmonising routinely collected clinical data from European paediatric emergency departments, and changes in health care pathways across Europe amongst participants of the EPISODES study. Secondary analysis of the data may be performed with the approval of the EPISODES steering group after review of a study proposal by any member of the EPISODES study group. Furthermore, the EPISODES study will position the trial group in a unique position to respond rapidly to a potential second wave of Sars-Cov-2 infections and to collect data on epidemiological issues in paediatric emergency medicine. |
IPD sharing plan | The datasets generated during and/or analysed during the current study are/will be available upon request from r.nijman@imperial.ac.uk. Requests and study proposals will be reviewed by the steering committee. Any of the data needed for any (approved by the steering committee) proposed analysis will be shared. These data will not contain patient individual data and are only available in aggregated and fully anonymised form. UK HRA approval was obtained; no patient informed consent was needed. Data will become available after acceptance of first publication of the main study results. Data will be available for 10 years after study closure. |
Study outputs
Output type | Details | Date created | Date added | Peer reviewed? | Patient-facing? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Results article | 26/08/2022 | 30/08/2022 | Yes | No | |
Protocol file | version 3.0 | 13/05/2020 | 03/09/2024 | No | No |
Results article | paediatric emergency visits in Sweden | 22/06/2021 | 03/09/2024 | Yes | No |
Additional files
Editorial Notes
03/09/2024: Publication reference and study protocol (not peer-reviewed) added.
30/08/2022: Publication reference added.
01/04/2021: The following changes were made to the trial record:
1. The recruitment end date was changed from 14/05/2020 to 01/05/2021.
2. The overall trial end date was changed from 31/10/2020 to 31/12/2021.
3. The intention to publish date was changed from 01/10/2020 to 01/06/2021.
4. The interventions and publication and dissemination plan were updated.
26/03/2021: The trial participating centres have been added.
16/03/2021: Internal review.
15/07/2020: Internal review.
14/07/2020: Trial’s existence confirmed by HRA and Health and Care Research Wales (HCRW).