Investigating the impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on children presenting to emergency departments across Europe

ISRCTN ISRCTN91495258
DOI https://doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN91495258
IRAS number 284008
Secondary identifying numbers IRAS 284008
Submission date
06/07/2020
Registration date
14/07/2020
Last edited
03/09/2024
Recruitment status
No longer recruiting
Overall study status
Completed
Condition category
Other
Prospectively registered
Protocol
Statistical analysis plan
Results
Individual participant data

Plain English summary of protocol

Background and study aims
COVID-19 is a condition caused by the coronavirus (called SARS-CoV-2) that was first identified in late 2019. This virus can infect the respiratory (breathing) system. Ever since the first cases of SARS-CoV-2 were reported in Europe, and since the initial outbreak in Italy in February 2020, the pandemic has caused significant challenges for health care systems and the societies at large across Europe.

One of the few reassuring aspects of this pandemic might be that children don’t appear to get infected as often as adults, that severe disease in children is rare, and that children appear to play a limited role in the transmission of the virus. As a result, numbers of children attending hospital emergency departments have been reported to have fallen drastically. However, the reduced numbers appear to be out of keeping with what was to be expected as a result of the government ‘lockdown’ policies. It is thought that, as a result of the imposed restrictions on free movements by governments, children are not cross-infecting one another with other common childhood diseases with the closure of daycare facilities and schools, that they are less exposed to air pollution triggering the respiratory disease, and that they are less often involved in high velocity, traffic-related trauma.

Also, as an unwanted effect of the pandemic, frontline clinicians are noticing an increase in delayed presentations of children with serious illness. Furthermore, cases of children presenting with an emerging Paediatric Inflammatory Multisystem Syndrome - temporally associated with Sars-Cov-2 (PIMS-TS) have been reported, with some of these children testing positive and some testing negative for SARS-CoV-2. At present, no there is no evidence to confirm these findings across multiple European countries. Therefore, it is important to describe current patterns of children presenting to paediatric emergency departments across Europe and compare these with historical data. The aim of this is to provide evidence for changes to attendance to emergency departments for children; to monitor for possible new diseases; and to understand the timeliness of their presentations in relation to the disease severity, to confirm if children are attending emergency departments later than normal during the pandemic and therefore have more severe symptoms by the time they are first seen by healthcare staff.

This study will be performed by the EPISODES study steering group, in collaboration with the European Society of Emergency Medicine and the Research in European Paediatric Emergency Medicine network.

Who can participate?
The collective data of all children presenting to the emergency departments of the participating centres during the period between January 1st, 2018 and May 1st, 2020 will be included in this trial.

What does the study involve?
This study will involve analysis of routinely collected clinical data of all children presenting to emergency departments across Europe over a 2 and half year period. The data will not be identifiable and will be collected on a monthly basis for each individual participating centre during the period spanning the COVID-19 pandemic (beginning February 2020). The historical data (from January 2018 and prior to February 2020) will be collected to serve as a comparison.

What are the possible benefits and risks of participating?
As this study does not involve any change to the care of the children whose data is included and that no individual patient data or identifiable data will be collected, there are not thought to be any risks involved in this study. It is hoped that data will show the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the numbers of children presenting to emergency departments across Europe and may, therefore, be used to provide advice on emergency department attendance for children, and to respond rapidly to a potential second wave of the pandemic.

Where is the study run from?
Imperial College London (UK). There are currently 40 confirmed participating sites (1-4 centres per European country) providing data for the study.

When is the study starting and how long is it expected to run for?
From June to December 2021

Who is funding the study?
The study is investigator-initiated and funded.

Who is the main contact?
Dr Ruud Nijman
r.nijman@imperial.ac.uk

Study website

Contact information

Dr Ruud Nijman
Scientific

St Marys Campus, Medical School Building
Room 235
Norfolk Place
London
W2 1PG
United Kingdom

ORCiD logoORCID ID 0000-0001-9671-8161
Phone +44 (0)7442360730
Email r.nijman@imperial.ac.uk

Study information

Study designRetrospective analysis of routinely collected clinical data
Primary study designObservational
Secondary study designEpidemiological study
Study setting(s)Hospital
Study typeDiagnostic
Participant information sheet No participant information sheet available
Scientific titleThe epidemiology, severity, and outcomes of children presenting to emergency departments across Europe during the SARS-COV-2 pandemic: the EPISODES study
Study acronymEPISODES
Study objectivesThis study aims to describe current patterns of children presenting to paediatric emergency departments across Europe during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and compare these with historical data, to understand the timeliness of their presentations in relation to the disease severity, and to monitor for emerging disease entities.
Ethics approval(s)Approved 18/06/2020, UK HRA, Imperial College Research Governance and Integrity Team (Joint Research Compliance Office Office Room 221, Medical School Building, St Mary's Campus, Imperial College London W2 1NY; n.shaikh@imperial.ac.uk; +44 (0)20 7594 9484), ref: 20SM6003
Health condition(s) or problem(s) studiedPaediatric emergency department presentation
InterventionCurrent interventions as of 01/04/2021:
This study will involve retrospective analysis of routinely collected clinical data of all children presenting to emergency departments across Europe over a 2 and half year period. Aggregated, anonymous data will be entered on a monthly basis for each individual participating centre during the period spanning the COVID-19 pandemic (beginning February 2020). All data will be extracted from electronic health care records by the local clinical teams. Monthly aggregated data will be entered on a validated and secure online platform (RedCap). Aggregated, anonymous data will be presented on a weekly/monthly basis where each week period will start on the first Monday (00:00 am) of that time period, through to the last Sunday (11:59 pm) of that time period. The total time period of interest will be January 1st, 2018 to May 17th, 2020 to allow for the collection of historical data (prior to February 2020) for comparison. Once the data is collected it will be analysed after the end of the period of interest.

A quota sampling design will be used to select from which 1-4 institutions from each participating European countries data will be collected. Every site lead will complete a site-specific survey to inform on hospital-specific factors and local changes to healthcare pathways induced by the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. No data with personally identifiable data will be collected, nor any data on a patient individual level. Data will be analysed by comparing absolute numbers and percentages of children presenting to emergency departments, the severity of their presenting problems, their working diagnoses, and the patient outcomes, over time during the study period.

We will use historic datasets to calibrate time series auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) forecasting models, in order to predict the expected number of ED attendances for different conditions using national-level and local data pre- and during the COVID-19 pandemic. We will compare the forecasted trends to the observed data for the same periods of time. Site-specific surveys detailing local health care pathways, and COVID-19 related changes to these pathways, will allow for unique local mediation analysis, and the ARIMA models will be adjusted for local policy interventions on social distancing and other lockdown measures.

An extension of the study period will allow data until May 2021 to be collected.

Previous interventions:
This study will involve retrospective analysis of routinely collected clinical data of all children presenting to emergency departments across Europe over a 2 and half year period. Aggregated, anonymous data will be entered on a monthly basis for each individual participating centre during the period spanning the COVID-19 pandemic (beginning February 2020). All data will be extracted from electronic health care records by the local clinical teams. Monthly aggregated data will be entered on a validated and secure online platform (RedCap). Aggregated, anonymous data will be presented on a weekly basis where each month or each week period will start at the first Monday (00:00 am) of that time period, through to the last Sunday (11:59 pm) of that time period. The total time period of interest will be January 1st, 2018 to May 1st, 2020 to allow for the collection of historical data (prior to February 2020) for comparison. Once the data is collected it will be analysed after the end of the period of interest.

A quota sampling design will be used to select from which 1-4 institutions from each participating European countries data will be collected. Every site lead will complete a site-specific survey to inform on hospital-specific factors and local changes to healthcare pathways induced by the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. No data with personally identifiable data will be collected, nor any data on a patient individual level. Data will be analysed by comparing absolute numbers and percentages of children presenting to emergency departments, the severity of their presenting problems, their working diagnoses, and the patient outcomes, over time during the study period.
Intervention typeOther
Primary outcome measureAbsolute numbers of children presenting to the paediatric emergency department over the period of interest; for all children and children with different typologies (i.e. working diagnosis, age)
Secondary outcome measures1. The severity of illness of children presenting to the paediatric emergency department over the period of interest as defined by the following criteria: percentage of children with abnormal vital parameters; high triage urgency; a composite outcome of the need for emergency medications, the need for hospital admission for >24 h, the need for PICU admission, and death
2. Change of relative incidence of children with specific diagnoses of interest and the severity of their presentation as a proxy for timeliness of presentations. Calculated from: absolute numbers of children presenting to the paediatric emergency department; the percentage of children with abnormal vital parameters; the number of cases with high triage urgency; a composite outcome of the need for emergency medications, the need for hospital admission for >24 h, the need for PICU admission, and death; over the period of interest and over an equivalent historical time period for comparison
Overall study start date14/06/2020
Completion date31/12/2021

Eligibility

Participant type(s)Patient
Age groupChild
Upper age limit18 Years
SexBoth
Target number of participantsBetween 6,000 and 60,000 per participating centre, 40 confirmed participating centres at the time of submission
Key inclusion criteria1. All children presenting to the emergency department during the period of interest for unscheduled health care
2. Aged between 0 and 18 years (upper age limit determined by the upper age bracket for children being assessed at the local participating centre)
3. Undergo a formal clinical assessment by advanced nurse practitioner (or equivalent) or clinician in the emergency department
4. All or part of the data of the triaging process (including vital signs), consultation, management (including diagnostics and treatment) and outcomes (including working diagnosis and disposition) routinely documented in the electronic patient record
Key exclusion criteria1. Children visiting the emergency department who are then streamed to a primary care service for the initial consultation.
2. Children presenting to the emergency department for scheduled health care or a planned follow-up visit (children who have an unscheduled re-visit to the emergency department within one disease episode are not excluded)
Date of first enrolment01/01/2018
Date of final enrolment01/05/2021

Locations

Countries of recruitment

  • Austria
  • England
  • France
  • Germany
  • Hungary
  • Iceland
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • Latvia
  • Lithuania
  • Malta
  • Netherlands
  • Portugal
  • Slovenia
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • Türkiye
  • United Kingdom

Study participating centres

Imperial College
London
W2 1NY
United Kingdom
Medical University Vienna
Paediatric Emergency Outpatient Clinic
Clinical Division of Pediatric Pulmonology, Allergology and Endocrinology
Department of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine
Währinger Gürtel 18-20
Vienna
1090
Austria
Paracelsus Medical University
Paediatric Emergency Department and Paediatric surgery Department
Müllner Hauptstrasse 48
Salzburg
5020
Austria
Medical University of Graz
Department of General Paediatrics
Auenbruggerplatz 2
Graz
8036
Austria
Hopital Universitaire Robert-Debre
Paediatric Emergency Department
Bd Sérurier
Paris
75019
France
Louis Mourier Hospital
Paediatric Emergency Department
178 Rue des Renouillers
Colombes
92700
France
Armand Trousseau Hospital
Paediatric Emergency Department
26 avenue du Dr-Arnold-Netter
Paris
75012
France
Jean Verdier Hospital
Paediatric Emergency Department
3 Rue Arthur Groussier
Bondy
93140
France
Dr. von Hauner Children’s Hospital
Paediatric emergency department
Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich
Lindwurmstraße 4
Munich
80337
Germany
Heim Pal National Paediatric Institute
Paediatric Emergency Department
Ulloi ut 86
Budapest
1089
Hungary
Szent Gyorgy University Teaching Hospital of Fejer County
Paediatric Emergency Department
Szekesfehervar
8000
Hungary
Barnaspitali Hringsins
Hringbraut 101
Reykjavík
101
Iceland
Children's Health Ireland at Crumlin
Paediatric Emergency Department
Cooley Rd
Crumlin
Dublin
D12 N512
Ireland
Children's Health Ireland at Temple Street
Paediatric Emergency Department
Temple St
Rotunda
Dublin
D01 XD99
Ireland
Children's Health Ireland at Tallaght
Paediatric Emergency Department
Tallaght
Dublin
D24 NR0A
Ireland
University Hospital of Padova
Division of Paediatric Emergency Medicine
Department of Women’s and Children’s Health
Via Giustiniani, 3
Padova
35128
Italy
ondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS
Department of Woman and Child Health and Public Health
Via della Pineta Sacchetti, 217
Rome
00168
Italy
Children's Clinical University Hospital
Paediatric emergency department
Riga Stradins University
Vienības gatve 45
Riga
-
Latvia
Hospital of Lithuanian University of Health Sciences Kauno Klinikos
Eivenių g. 2
Kaunas
50161
Lithuania
Mater Dei Hospital
Department of Child and Adolescent Health
Msida
MSD 2090
Malta
Erasmus MC Sophia
Department General Paediatrics
Dr. Molewaterplein 40
Rotterdam
3015 GD
Netherlands
Medisch Centrum Alkmaar, Noordwest Ziekenhuisgroep
Emergency department
Wilhelminalaan 12
Alkmaar
1815 JD
Netherlands
Hospital Pediátrico, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra
Pediatric Emergency Service
Avenida, R. Dr. Afonso Romão
Coimbra
3000-602
Portugal
Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de São João
Alameda Prof. Hernâni Monteiro
Porto
4200-319
Portugal
Hospital Dona Estefania
Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Central
Alameda Santo António dos Capuchos
Lisboa
1169-050
Portugal
Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando da Fonseca
Departamento da Criança e do Jovem- Urgencia Pediatrica
IC19
Amadora
2720-276
Portugal
Centro Hospitalar Tondela-Viseu
Paediatric Department
Av. Rei Dom Duarte
Viseu
3504-509
Portugal
University Medical Centre Ljubljana
Univerzitetni Klinični Center
Department of Infectious Diseases
Zaloška cesta 7
Ljubljana
1000
Slovenia
Cruces University Hospital
Paediatric emergency department
Cruces Plaza, S/N
Barakaldo
48903
Spain
Hospital Universitario Río Hortega
Paediatric emergency unit
Calle Dulzaina, 2
Valladolid
47012
Spain
Astrid Lindgrens Children's hospital
Paediatric emergency department
Karolinska University
Anna Steckséns gata 35
Solna
171 64
Sweden
Sachs’ Children and Youth Hospital
Paediatric emergency department
Sjukhusbacken 10
Stockholm
118 83
Sweden
Faculty of Medicine, Ondokuz Mayıs University
Paediatric Emergency Department
Körfez
19 Mayıs University
Samsun
55270
Türkiye
Hacettepe University School of Medicine
Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine
Department of Pediatrics
Hacettepe
A.Adnan Saygun Cd
Ankara
06230
Türkiye
Mersin City Training and Research Hospital
Department of Pediatrics
Division of Emergency Medicine
Korukent Mah. 96015 Sok. Mersin Entegre Sağlık Kampüsü
Toroslar
Mersin
33240
Türkiye
Leicester Children's Hospital
Paediatric Emergency Medicine Leicester Academic Group
Children’s Emergency Department
Leicester Royal Infirmary
Infirmary Square
Leicester
LE1 5UE
United Kingdom
St. Mary’s Hospital
Department of Paediatric Emergency Medicine
Division of Medicine
Imperial College NHS Healthcare Trust
Praed Street
London
W2 NY1
United Kingdom
St. Thomas' Hospital
Department of paediatric emergency medicine
Guy's and St. Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust
Westminster Bridge Rd
South Bank
London
SE1 7EH
United Kingdom
Birmingham Children's Hospital
Paediatric emergency department
Birmingham women's and children's NHS Foundation Trust
Steelhouse Ln
Birmingham
B4 6NH
United Kingdom
Bristol Royal Hospital for Children
Emergency Department
Upper Maudlin St
Bristol
BS2 8BJ
United Kingdom
Alder Hey Children's Hospital
Paediatric emergency department
Alder Hey Children's NHS Foundation Trust
E Prescot Rd
Liverpool
L12 2AP
United Kingdom

Sponsor information

Imperial College London
University/education

Joint Research Compliance Office
Medical School building, Room 221
Norfolk Place
London
W211PG
England
United Kingdom

Phone +44 (0)207 594 9465
Email cheuk-fung.wong@imperial.ac.uk
Website http://www3.imperial.ac.uk/
ROR logo "ROR" https://ror.org/041kmwe10

Funders

Funder type

Other

Investigator initiated and funded

No information available

Results and Publications

Intention to publish date01/06/2021
Individual participant data (IPD) Intention to shareYes
IPD sharing plan summaryAvailable on request
Publication and dissemination planCurrent publication and dissemination plan as of 01/04/2021:
Expect to publish the main manuscript in a leading international peer-reviewed journal and presentation at international conferences, planned for 01/06/2021 (i.e.: data from original EPISODES study, detailing period January 2018 - May 2020).

Anticipated additional production of short papers on both difficulties on harmonising routinely collected clinical data from European paediatric emergency departments, and changes in health care pathways across Europe amongst participants of the EPISODES study. Secondary analysis of the data may be performed with the approval of the EPISODES steering group after review of a study proposal by any member of the EPISODES study group. Furthermore, the EPISODES study will position the trial group in a unique position to respond rapidly to a potential second wave of Sars-Cov-2 infections and to collect data on epidemiological issues in paediatric emergency medicine.

Previous publication and dissemination plan:
Expect to publication of the main manuscript in a leading international peer-reviewed journal and presentation at international conferences. Anticipated production of short papers on both difficulties on harmonising routinely collected clinical data from European paediatric emergency departments, and changes in health care pathways across Europe amongst participants of the EPISODES study. Secondary analysis of the data may be performed with the approval of the EPISODES steering group after review of a study proposal by any member of the EPISODES study group. Furthermore, the EPISODES study will position the trial group in a unique position to respond rapidly to a potential second wave of Sars-Cov-2 infections and to collect data on epidemiological issues in paediatric emergency medicine.
IPD sharing planThe datasets generated during and/or analysed during the current study are/will be available upon request from r.nijman@imperial.ac.uk. Requests and study proposals will be reviewed by the steering committee. Any of the data needed for any (approved by the steering committee) proposed analysis will be shared. These data will not contain patient individual data and are only available in aggregated and fully anonymised form. UK HRA approval was obtained; no patient informed consent was needed. Data will become available after acceptance of first publication of the main study results. Data will be available for 10 years after study closure.

Study outputs

Output type Details Date created Date added Peer reviewed? Patient-facing?
Results article 26/08/2022 30/08/2022 Yes No
Protocol file version 3.0 13/05/2020 03/09/2024 No No
Results article paediatric emergency visits in Sweden 22/06/2021 03/09/2024 Yes No

Additional files

ISRCTN91495258_Protocol_v3.0_13May2020.pdf

Editorial Notes

03/09/2024: Publication reference and study protocol (not peer-reviewed) added.
30/08/2022: Publication reference added.
01/04/2021: The following changes were made to the trial record:
1. The recruitment end date was changed from 14/05/2020 to 01/05/2021.
2. The overall trial end date was changed from 31/10/2020 to 31/12/2021.
3. The intention to publish date was changed from 01/10/2020 to 01/06/2021.
4. The interventions and publication and dissemination plan were updated.
26/03/2021: The trial participating centres have been added.
16/03/2021: Internal review.
15/07/2020: Internal review.
14/07/2020: Trial’s existence confirmed by HRA and Health and Care Research Wales (HCRW).