Diabetic retinopathy (a complication of diabetes that affects the eyes), progression of the disease and how it responds to treatment - UK Model validation

ISRCTN ISRCTN10956293
DOI https://doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN10956293
IRAS number 253774
Secondary identifying numbers RG_22-099, IRAS 253774, CPMS 54464
Submission date
14/01/2023
Registration date
17/01/2023
Last edited
24/12/2024
Recruitment status
No longer recruiting
Overall study status
Completed
Condition category
Eye Diseases
Prospectively registered
Protocol
Statistical analysis plan
Results
Individual participant data
Record updated in last year

Plain English summary of protocol

Background and study aims
Patients with diabetes are prone to develop complications at the back of the eye causing blindness, and are therefore screened yearly or two-yearly. If serious disease develops, additional hospital appointments are necessary for monitoring/treatment. Due to increasing pressure on hospital, it would be beneficial to have a system by which patients could be prioritised in terms of risk, and appointments allocated accordingly so the high-risk patients don't come to any harm due to delays. A model has been designed in general practitioner's gathered data.
Aims: Update already developed patient risk assessment model, test it in hospital population and measure its clinical benefit.

Who can participate?
The study will use routine practice data for patients (12 years or over) with diabetic retinopathy under care of hospital eye services.

What does the study involve?
Anonymised data will be gathered anonymously at three participating NHS trusts and analysed by researchers in the University of Birmingham. The benefits to both the patients and the care provider under different scenarios will then be measured. We will then present our findings in an expert meeting including patients where it can be discussed before making a final decision on the model’s efficacy and implementation. It does not involve any interference to the patient's ongoing treatment so there is no chance of harm.

What are the possible benefits and risks of participating?
None

Where is the study run from?
University of Birmingham (UK)

When is the study starting and how long is it expected to run for?
July 2022 to December 2024

Who is funding the study?
National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) (UK).

Who is the main contact?
Dr Sajjad Haider, s.haider.2@bham.ac.uk

Contact information

Dr Sajjad Haider
Principal Investigator

7 Westfield Rd
Edgbaston
Birmingham
B15 3XA
United Kingdom

ORCiD logoORCID ID 0000-0001-8111-8577
Phone +44 7877879753
Email s.haider.2@bham.ac.uk

Study information

Study designMixed methods observational retrospective multicentre cohort study
Primary study designObservational
Secondary study designCohort study
Study setting(s)Hospital
Study typeOther
Participant information sheet 43055 PIS Poster 10112022.pdf
Scientific titleDiabetic Retinopathy Progression in patients under monitoring for Treatment or Vision Loss: external validation, update, and net clinical benefit of a multivariable prediction model
Study acronymDRPTVL-UK Model validation
Study objectivesDiabetes mellitus is one of the most common chronic conditions affecting nearly 4.9 million people in UK as of 2021. With the prevalence rising each year, there is an ongoing global and UK wide increase in the number of people with diabetes mellitus and consequently DR. The detection of DR has also improved through wider population screening, further increasing the demand for Hospital Eye Services. There are delays in patients being seen, causing harm especially for the higher risk patients with diabetic retinopathy. Therefore, this bottleneck urgently needs addressing. We propose to mitigate this risk by stratifying these patients and prioritise care for higher risk patients by using a statistical model we developed in primary care data.
We now need to assess the model’s performance in a secondary care population to ensure it performs adequately to identify patients at high risk of treatment or vision loss. If this model performs well for predicting risk at different time points in hospital eye services / surveillance clinics data during external validation, we propose that it could be used to prioritise individuals at higher risk of vision loss and potentially inform the length of the follow up intervals after referral to hospital eye services / surveillance clinics.
Ethics approval(s)Approved 24/11/2022, South Central - Hampshire A Research Ethics Committee (Temple Quay House, 2 The Square, Temple Quay, Bristol, BS1 6PN, UK; +44 207 104 8196; hampshirea.rec@hra.nhs.uk), ref: 22/SC/0425
Health condition(s) or problem(s) studiedDiabetic Retinopathy
InterventionRoutine practice anonymised data analysis, a retrospective observational cohort study. Enrolment is at referral from diabetic eye screening programme into hospital with diabetic retinopathy. Once they had an outcome whichever comes first (treatment/vision failure/discharge/transfer to another provider/study period end), the data extraction stops (censoring).
Intervention typeOther
Primary outcome measureThe first of any of these patient outcomes: date of treatment/vision loss of three lines in EDTRS chart/discharge/transfer to another provider/study period end, will be recorded in addition to the specific nature of the outcome like what treatment was given. Data is to be extracted from clinical notes/hospital electronic databases.
Secondary outcome measuresThere are no secondary outcome measures
Overall study start date01/07/2022
Completion date31/12/2024

Eligibility

Participant type(s)Patient
Age groupOther
Lower age limit12 Years
SexBoth
Target number of participants2400
Total final enrolment3659
Key inclusion criteriaPatients with diabetes aged 12 years and over with referable diabetic retinopathy (patients enter the screening programme from age 12) will be identified at referral to the NHS hospital trusts from DESP between 2013 and 2016 for close monitoring and treatment.
Key exclusion criteriaPatients with the specific outcome of retinopathy treatment or vision loss at referral or those referred for reasons other than retinopathy will be excluded. Patients objecting to their information being used (through a local or national opt out scheme) will also be excluded.
Date of first enrolment28/06/2023
Date of final enrolment30/06/2024

Locations

Countries of recruitment

  • England
  • Scotland
  • United Kingdom

Study participating centres

Surrey and Sussex Healthcare NHS Trust
Trust Headquarters
East Surrey Hospital
Canada Avenue
Redhill
RH1 5RH
United Kingdom
Sandwell and West Birmingham Hospitals NHS Trust
City Hospital
Dudley Road
Birmingham
B18 7QH
United Kingdom
South Tyneside & Sunderland NHS Ft Sun
Sunderlandchildrenscentre
Durham Road
Sunderland
SR3 4AG
United Kingdom
NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde
J B Russell House
Gartnavel Royal Hospital
1055 Great Western Road Glasgow
Glasgow
G12 0XH
United Kingdom

Sponsor information

University of Birmingham
University/education

Edgbaston
Birmingham
B15 2TT
England
United Kingdom

Phone +44 7877879753
Email researchgovernance@contacts.bham.ac.uk
Website http://www.birmingham.ac.uk/index.aspx
ROR logo "ROR" https://ror.org/03angcq70

Funders

Funder type

Government

National Institute for Health and Care Research
Government organisation / National government
Alternative name(s)
National Institute for Health Research, NIHR Research, NIHRresearch, NIHR - National Institute for Health Research, NIHR (The National Institute for Health and Care Research), NIHR
Location
United Kingdom

Results and Publications

Intention to publish date31/12/2025
Individual participant data (IPD) Intention to shareYes
IPD sharing plan summaryAvailable on request
Publication and dissemination planPlanned publication in a high-impact peer-reviewed journal
IPD sharing planThe dataset generated during the study will be available upon request from s.haider.2@bham.ac.uk

Study outputs

Output type Details Date created Date added Peer reviewed? Patient-facing?
Participant information sheet Recruitment poster 10/11/2022 16/01/2023 No Yes
Protocol file version 1 19/08/2022 16/01/2023 No No
Protocol article protocol 03/04/2023 04/04/2023 Yes No

Additional files

43055 PIS Poster 10112022.pdf
Recruitment poster
43055 Protocol v1 19Aug2022.pdf

Editorial Notes

24/12/2024: The total final enrolment was added.
28/06/2024: The study participating centre NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde was added.
13/12/2023: The following changes were made to the study record:
1. The recruitment start date was changed from 01/02/2023 to 28/06/2023.
2. The recruitment end date was changed from 30/06/2023 to 30/06/2024.
3. The overall study end date was changed from 31/12/2023 to 31/12/2024.
4. The intention to publish date was changed from 31/12/2024 to 31/12/2025.
04/04/2023: Publication reference added.
01/02/2023: Internal review.
NHW 16/01/2023: Trial's existence confirmed by NHS HRA.