Study on the link between gum disease and heart problems using artificial intelligence

ISRCTN ISRCTN15877121
DOI https://doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN15877121
Secondary identifying numbers 1737/CEL, ADMA-PERIO-CVD-2024
Submission date
04/09/2025
Registration date
23/09/2025
Last edited
09/09/2025
Recruitment status
No longer recruiting
Overall study status
Completed
Condition category
Other
Prospectively registered
Protocol
Statistical analysis plan
Results
Individual participant data
Record updated in last year

Plain English summary of protocol

Background and study aims
Many people have both gum disease and heart problems, but we don't fully understand how these conditions affect each other. This study uses artificial intelligence (computer technology) to find patterns that doctors might miss, helping us better understand who is at risk. This research looks at how gum disease and heart disease might work together to affect blood vessel health. We measure a substance in the blood called ADMA, which tells us how healthy blood vessels are. High ADMA levels mean blood vessels aren't working properly, which can lead to heart problems.

Who can participate?
Adults aged 18-75 years, divided into four groups:
1. People with healthy gums and heart
2. People with only gum disease
3. People with only heart disease
4. People with both conditions

What does the study involve?
Participants come for ONE visit (2-3 hours) where we:
1. Check your teeth and gums
2. Take dental X-rays
3. Collect a small blood sample (two teaspoons)
4. Collect saliva
5. Check blood pressure
6. Ask about medical history
This is an observational study - we only measure and analyze, we don't provide any treatment.

What are the possible benefits and risks of participating?
The study will:
1. Help identify people at higher risk for heart problems
2. Show if saliva tests could replace blood tests
3. Create a simple scoring system for dentists to spot at-risk patients
4. Improve understanding of how gum disease affects heart health
The procedures are the same as routine dental and medical check-ups. The only discomforts are minor - like having your gums examined or giving a blood sample. No payment is provided, but you receive a free comprehensive dental examination and information about your cardiovascular risk markers. All information is kept confidential. You get a study number instead of using your name. Only the research team can access your data, which is stored securely following privacy laws. Results will be published in medical journals, but no participant will be identifiable.

Where is the study run from?
IRCCS Istituto Tumori "Giovanni Paolo II" (Italy)

When is the study starting and how long is it expected to run for?
July 2024 to April 2025

Who is funding the study?
IRCCS Istituto Tumori "Giovanni Paolo II" (Italy)

Who is the main contact?
Prof. Francesco Inchingolo, francesco.inchingolo@uniba.it

Contact information

Prof Francesco Inchingolo
Public, Scientific, Principal investigator

Piazza Giulio Cesare, 11
Bari
70124
Italy

ORCiD logoORCID ID 0000-0003-3797-5883
Phone +39 (0)80 559 1111
Email francesco.inchingolo@policlinico.bari.it

Study information

Study designObservational cross-sectional case-control study
Primary study designObservational
Secondary study designCross sectional study
Study setting(s)Dental clinic
Study typeDiagnostic
Participant information sheet Not available in web format, please use the contact details to request a participant information sheet
Scientific titleMachine learning analysis of asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) levels in patients with periodontitis and cardiovascular disease: a cross-sectional study
Study acronymADMA-PERIO-CVD
Study objectives1. To investigate the synergistic effects of periodontitis and cardiovascular disease on serum asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) levels and to develop a machine learning algorithm capable of predicting ADMA concentrations from clinical and radiographic parameters.
2. To quantify the correlation between periodontal inflammatory burden (measured by PISA) and ADMA levels in patients with and without cardiovascular disease.
3. To identify differential ADMA regulatory pathways between cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular cohorts through biomarker pattern analysis.
4. To validate the accuracy of artificial intelligence-based ADMA prediction compared to conventional clinical assessment.
5. To develop a simplified clinical risk score (Periodontal-ADMA Risk Score [PARS]) for identifying patients at risk of elevated ADMA levels.
6. To evaluate the relationship between salivary and serum ADMA levels as a potential non-invasive diagnostic approach.
7. To assess the association between radiographic periodontal parameters (bone loss patterns, furcation involvement) and systemic endothelial dysfunction markers.
Ethics approval(s)

Approved 15/07/2024, Comitato Etico Locale IRCCS Istituto Oncologico "Gabriella Serio" (IRCCS Istituto Tumori "Giovanni Paolo II", Bari, 1001, Italy; +39 (0)80 555 5111; comitatoetico@oncologico.bari.it), ref: 1737/CEL

Health condition(s) or problem(s) studiedPeriodontitis, cardiovascular disease, endothelial dysfunction, asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) elevation
InterventionThis is an observational cross-sectional study with no interventions. Participants undergo a single visit including:
1. Clinical periodontal examination (probing depth, clinical attachment level, bleeding on probing, plaque index)
2. Blood sample collection for ADMA analysis via high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC)
3. Medical history and cardiovascular assessment

Total duration: One visit (approximately 2 hours)
No follow-up required (cross-sectional design)
Intervention typeOther
Primary outcome measureSerum ADMA levels as a biomarker of endothelial dysfunction measured using high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) at baseline (single assessment)
Secondary outcome measures1. Periodontal parameters (probing depth, clinical attachment level, bleeding on probing, plaque index) measured using UNC-15 probe at baseline (single assessment)
2. Inflammatory markers (hs-CRP, IL-6, TNF-α) measured using ELISA at baseline (single assessment)
3. Machine learning algorithm accuracy for ADMA prediction based on clinical parameters, assessed at study completion
Overall study start date15/07/2024
Completion date30/04/2025

Eligibility

Participant type(s)Healthy volunteer, Patient
Age groupAdult
Lower age limit18 Years
Upper age limit75 Years
SexAll
Target number of participants140
Total final enrolment140
Key inclusion criteria1. Age 18-75 years
2. Minimum 16 natural teeth present
3. For periodontitis groups:
3.1. ≥40% sites with CAL ≥2mm and PD ≥4mm
3.2. Radiographic evidence of bone loss
3.3. ≥40% sites with bleeding on probing
4. For CVD groups:
4.1. ≥50% stenosis of at least one coronary artery (angiographically verified)
4.2. OR history of documented coronary intervention
5. For healthy controls:
5.1. No systemic disease
5.2. ≤10% sites with bleeding on probing
5.3. No sites with PD ≥4 mm
6. Ability to provide informed consent
7. Willing to complete all study procedures
Key exclusion criteria1. Antibiotic or anti-inflammatory medication within 3 months prior to enrollment
2. Pregnancy or lactation
3. Uncontrolled diabetes (HbA1c >7.5%)
4. Current smoking >10 cigarettes/day
5. Systemic conditions affecting periodontal health (e.g., immunosuppression)
6. Active cancer treatment
7. Chronic kidney disease (eGFR <30 ml/min/1.73m²)
8. Periodontal treatment within 6 months
9. Unable to provide informed consent
10. Severe cognitive impairment
11. Active substance abuse
12. Participation in other clinical studies within 30 days
Date of first enrolment01/09/2024
Date of final enrolment28/02/2025

Locations

Countries of recruitment

  • Italy

Study participating centre

AOU Consorziale Policlinico di Bari - Unità Operativa Malattie Odontostomatologiche
Piazza Giulio Cesare, 11
Bari
70124
Italy

Sponsor information

Funders

Funder type

Hospital/treatment centre

IRCCS Istituto Tumori "Giovanni Paolo II"

No information available

Results and Publications

Intention to publish date30/11/2025
Individual participant data (IPD) Intention to shareYes
IPD sharing plan summaryStored in publicly available repository
Publication and dissemination planPrimary Publication Target:
Submission to peer-reviewed journal within 6 months of study completion (October 2025)

Target journals (in order of preference):
Journal of Clinical Periodontology (Impact Factor: 6.7)
Journal of Periodontology (Impact Factor: 4.3)
Clinical Oral Investigations (Impact Factor: 3.5)

Secondary Publications:
Machine learning methodology paper for AI/medical informatics journal
Clinical validation paper for cardiovascular journal
Brief communication on PARS score development

Conference Presentations:
EuroPerio 2025 (European Federation of Periodontology)
International Association for Dental Research (IADR) 2025
European Society of Cardiology Congress 2025

Timeline:
Data analysis completion: May 2025
Abstract submissions: June-July 2025
Manuscript preparation: August-September 2025
First submission: October 2025
IPD sharing planWill IPD be shared?
Yes - De-identified participant data will be made available

What data will be shared?
De-identified individual participant dataset
Data dictionary defining all variables
Statistical analysis plan
Analytical code (R/Python scripts)

When will data become available?
6 months after primary publication (estimated April 2026)

For how long?
5 years from publication date

With whom will data be shared?
Researchers with methodologically sound proposals
For meta-analyses and systematic reviews
For validation of AI algorithms
Upon reasonable request with appropriate ethics approval

How to access?
Submit proposal to: francesco.inchingolo@uniba.it
Proposal must include:

Research question
Analysis plan
Ethics approval (if applicable)

Data use agreement must be signed
Data provided via secure transfer

Repository:
Primary: Institutional repository (Policlinico Bari)
Secondary: Consider deposit in Zenodo or Figshare for DOI assignment
Clinical data: May submit to BioLINCC or similar clinical data repository

FAIR Principles Compliance:
Findable: DOI assigned, metadata in repositories
Accessible: Clear access procedures defined
Interoperable: Standard formats (CSV, JSON)
Reusable: Clear licensing (CC-BY 4.0 for publications)

Restrictions:
No attempt to re-identify participants
No commercial use without separate agreement
Acknowledgment of original study required
No data sharing that violates participant consent

Additional Dissemination:
Study summary for participants (lay language)
Press release through institutional communications
Social media dissemination (@uniba_it, @policlinicobari)
Policy brief if findings have public health implications

Editorial Notes

04/09/2025: Study's existence confirmed by the Comitato Etico Locale IRCCS Istituto Oncologico "Gabriella Serio".