Non-invasive tests to safely avoid screening endoscopy in patients with liver cirrhosis in Kuwait

ISRCTN ISRCTN17426305
DOI https://doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN17426305
Sponsor Adan Hospital
Funder Adan Hospital
Submission date
15/07/2026
Registration date
16/07/2026
Last edited
16/07/2026
Recruitment status
No longer recruiting
Overall study status
Completed
Condition category
Digestive System
Prospectively registered
Protocol
Statistical analysis plan
Results
Individual participant data
Record updated in last year

Plain English summary of protocol

Background and study aims
Cirrhosis (liver scarring) can cause enlarged veins in the food pipe, called varices, which may bleed. Doctors usually screen for these with a camera test (endoscopy), but many patients turn out to be at low risk and gain nothing from the test. This study looked at whether two simple, non-invasive measurements, a FibroScan (a painless scan of liver stiffness) and a routine blood platelet count, can safely identify which patients can avoid endoscopy. It focused on patients whose cirrhosis is linked to fatty liver disease, including those with obesity, in a Kuwaiti (Gulf Arab) population where these criteria had not been tested before.

Who can participate?
Adults aged 18 years and over with early-stage (compensated) cirrhosis who were undergoing routine liver assessment

What does the study involve?
Participants had the tests that are already part of their routine care: a FibroScan, a blood test for platelet count, and an upper endoscopy. The non-invasive measurements were compared against the endoscopy findings to see how reliably they identify patients with high-risk varices so that endoscopy could be safely avoided in the future. No extra procedures, medicines, or samples were added for the study.

What are the possible benefits and risks of participating?
Participants may not benefit directly. The findings may help doctors decide which patients with cirrhosis can safely avoid unnecessary endoscopy in the future. There were no additional risks beyond the routine tests participants were already having.

Where is the study run from?
Al Adan Hospital (Kuwait)

When is the study starting and how long is it expected to run for?
January 2022 to April 2026

Who is funding the study?
Al Adan Hospital (Kuwait)

Who is the main contact?
Dr Yaqoub Alshatti, dralshattiy@gmail.com

Contact information

Dr Yaqoub Alshatti
Public, Scientific, Principal investigator

Gastroenterology Unit and Endoscopy Department, Al Adan Hospital, Ministry of Health, Ahmadi Health Region
Hadiya Area
61001
Kuwait

ORCiD logoORCID ID 0000-0003-1142-5314
Phone +965 (0)66635336
Email alshatti1862@moh.gov.kw; dralshattiy@gmail.com

Study information

Primary study designObservational
Observational study designCohort study
Scientific titleBaveno VII endoscopy-sparing criteria in MASLD-predominant compensated cirrhosis: a prospective validation from a Gulf Arab population (Kuwait)
Study acronymBAVENO-KW
Study objectives To prospectively evaluate whether the Baveno VII non-invasive criteria (liver stiffness measurement by transient elastography plus platelet count) can safely identify patients with compensated cirrhosis who may avoid screening endoscopy for high-risk oesophageal varices, with pre-specified analysis by MASLD and obesity status, and to externally assess the ANTICIPATE-NASH model for predicting clinically significant portal hypertension
Ethics approval(s)

Approved 04/01/2022, Research Ethics Committee (Ministry of Health, Kuwait, 13001, Kuwait; +965 (0)90069869; hkhamis@moh.gov.kw), ref: MOH/REC/060720221394

Health condition(s) or problem(s) studiedCompensated cirrhosis (compensated advanced chronic liver disease), predominantly due to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)
MethodologyConsecutive Kuwaiti adults with compensated cirrhosis underwent, within 3 months, vibration-controlled transient elastography (liver stiffness measurement and controlled attenuation parameter), a platelet count, and reference-standard upper gastrointestinal endoscopy performed by endoscopists blinded to elastography results. Baveno VI, Expanded Baveno VI, Baveno VII, and ANTICIPATE-NASH criteria were applied, with high-risk varices at endoscopy as the primary endpoint. Aetiology was classified per the 2023 multi-society MASLD nomenclature. Diagnostic performance (miss rate, negative predictive value, sensitivity, specificity) was calculated for the full cohort and by pre-specified subgroups (MASLD with obesity, MASLD without obesity, non-MASLD). Analyses used Wilson 95% confidence intervals, DeLong's method for ROC comparison, and multivariable logistic regression.
Intervention typeOther
Primary outcome measure(s)
  1. Presence of high-risk oesophageal varices measured using detection of high-risk varices (F2/F3 oesophageal varices, or any varix with high-risk stigmata) at upper gastrointestinal endoscopy, compared against the Baveno VII rule-out criterion (LSM <20 kPa and platelet count >150 × 10⁹/L); expressed as miss rate and negative predictive value; at enrolment (single timepoint; index endoscopy within 3 months of elastography)
Key secondary outcome measure(s)
  1. Comparative performance of Baveno VI, Expanded Baveno VI, and Baveno VII criteria measured using the proportion of endoscopies spared and miss rate for each at enrolment
  2. ANTICIPATE-NASH performance for clinically significant portal hypertension measured using positive predictive value versus LSM ≥25 kPa alone, with Hosmer–Lemeshow calibration, at enrolment
  3. Optimal LSM threshold by subgroup measured using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and Youden cutoff by DeLong's method at enrolment
Completion date30/04/2026

Eligibility

Participant type(s)
Age groupMixed
Lower age limit18 Years
Upper age limit120 Years
SexAll
Target sample size at registration380
Total final enrolment380
Key inclusion criteria1. Age ≥18 years
2. Kuwaiti nationality
3. Compensated cirrhosis (Child–Pugh A or B, no prior decompensation)
4. Liver stiffness measurement by vibration-controlled transient elastography within 3 months of index endoscopy
5. Concurrent platelet count within 3 months
6. Qualifying upper gastrointestinal endoscopy as reference standard
7. No prior non-selective beta-blocker therapy for portal hypertension prophylaxis
8. Written informed consent
Key exclusion criteria1. Decompensated cirrhosis
2. Active hepatocellular carcinoma or other malignancy
3. Portal vein thrombosis >50% luminal occlusion
4. Prior transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) or surgical shunt
5. Prior endoscopic variceal band ligation
6. Technically unreliable liver stiffness measurement (LSM) (interquartile range/median >30% with LSM >7.1 kPa)
7. Acute-on-chronic liver failure
Date of first enrolment06/01/2022
Date of final enrolment30/04/2026

Locations

Countries of recruitment

  • Kuwait

Study participating centre

Al Adan Hospital
Gastroenterology and Endoscopy Department, Ministry of Health, Ahmadi Health Region
Kuwait

Results and Publications

Individual participant data (IPD) Intention to shareNo

Editorial Notes

16/07/2026: Study's existence confirmed by Adan Hospital.